Nepal's Q3 Economic Growth Projected at 3.51% Amid Hydropower Surge

Jul 06, 2026 03:02 PM Merolagani



Nepal’s economy is projected to expand by 3.51% in the third quarter of the current fiscal year 2082/83. According to the Quarterly National Accounts Estimates published by the National Statistical Office (NSO), this marks an improvement over the growth rate recorded during the same period in the previous fiscal year (2081/82).

The NSO attributes this upward momentum to heightened economic activities, including boosted power generation, healthier bank deposit collections, increased credit flows, steady non-life insurance premiums, and rebounding trade services.

Sector-wise Performance: Highs and Lows

Out of the 18 major industrial classifications, 16 sectors are projected to experience positive growth this quarter.

Top Performing Sectors

  • Electricity & Gas: Leading the charge with a massive 24.88% growth, driven by a strong performance in the hydropower sector.

  • Financial & Insurance Activities: Expected to expand by 10.27%.

  • Transport & Storage: Projected to grow by 7.83%.

  • Wholesale & Retail Trade: Estimated to increase by 5.25%.

  • Agriculture (The Largest Contributor): Anticipated to grow by 1.58%. While a dip in rice crop production held it back, steady gains in livestock, vegetables, fruits, and forestry kept the sector in positive territory.

 Contracting Sectors

Despite the broader upward trend, two key areas witnessed a slowdown, pulling down the overall potential growth rate:

  • Public Administration & Defense: Expected to grow by just 1.59%.

  • Industrial Manufacturing: Nearly stagnant with a marginal 0.54% growth, heavily impacted by lower imports of construction materials and reduced production of household goods and rice crops.

Quarter-on-Quarter (QoQ) Outlook

Indicator Type Growth Rate
Year-on-Year (Compared to Q3 2081/82) +3.51%
Quarter-on-Quarter (Seasonally Adjusted vs. Q2 2082/83) +0.58%